Brazil Serie B---Match Time：14/1/2021 06:00 Thursday GMT + 8
Analysis of Avai FC SC
The home team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 47 points won, after 14 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against CRB, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Brasil de Pelotas, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 24 points in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded, against 23 points won at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Avaí has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 19 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (31'‑45').
Avai is still alive in the fight for access and cannot accept any result other than the triumph. The team should go to Vitória trying to control the game with ball possession and strong pressing in the attacking midfield, to force the opponent to the error and take advantage of the opportunities to score the goal. Playing at Ressacada, winning is a must.
Analysis of Vitoria BA
The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 8 wins, 13 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Operário PR, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against América Mineiro, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 26 at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded at home, against 18 goals scored and 27 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Vitória has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Vitoria plays away from home and needs to win to get away from the relegation zone. If it loses or draw the match, Rubro-Negro may end the round in the Z-4, so the team needs a different posture, with more technical quality and strength when scoring the rival. The team should bet on fast counterattacks to surprise Avaí and achieve a positive result.
Avai has the advantage of playing at home, so it wants to be in control of the duel. The visitors want at least one point, so they will have to score strong. This tends to be a closed game with high pressing. We will bet that there will be no more than 2.5 goals in the match.
Avai FC SC VS Vitoria BA Picks
O/U Picks: Under 2.5